New energy vehicle ten-year development roadmap

Recently, it was learned from the National Manufacturing Powerful Country Construction Strategy Advisory Committee that the road map for the development of the new energy automobile industry in the next decade has been drawn. The reporter obtained the details of the new energy vehicle part in the technical roadmap of the key areas of "Made in China 2025". According to the documents, by 2025, the annual sales volume of new energy vehicles in China will reach 20% of the total demand of the automobile market, and the market share of independent new energy vehicles will reach over 80%. In order to achieve this goal, new energy sources linked by industry will be formed at the national level. The automobile independent innovation development plan, and the introduction of sustainable and feasible new energy vehicle tax incentives.

The road map shows that with the large-scale popularization of new energy vehicles in the fields of family cars, official vehicles and buses, taxis, and logistics vehicles, the annual sales volume of new energy vehicles in China will reach the total demand of the automobile market in 2020. More than 5% of the amount increased to about 20% in 2025. Under the national carbon emission target and the primary energy substitution catalogue, the annual sales volume of new energy vehicles in 2030 will continue to increase significantly, with a scale of more than 10 million vehicles.

The road map shows that in 2020, a new energy vehicle industry system with market-oriented, enterprise-oriented, and close integration of production, education and research will be initially established. The annual sales volume of independent new energy vehicles exceeded 1 million units, and the market share reached more than 70%. The star models were built into the top ten global sales, and the new energy buses achieved large-scale export. The average fault interval of the whole vehicle reached 20,000 kilometers; the power battery Key systems such as drive motors have reached the international advanced level, and the domestic market share has reached 80%.

By 2025, an independent and controllable and complete industrial chain will be formed. The annual sales of new energy vehicles synchronized with the international advanced level will reach 3 million units, and the market share of independent new energy vehicles will reach over 80%. The product technology level is synchronized with the international level. Global sales have entered the top ten leading automakers, with overseas sales accounting for 10% of total sales.

Zhang Junyi, a partner of Roland Berger Automotive Industry, told the Economic Information Daily that the Chinese government has always hoped to achieve breakthroughs in the entire automotive industry through the technical breakthrough of new energy vehicles. Therefore, the concept of “overtaking” has been proposed.

At this stage, many foreign traditional vehicle companies have not only promoted the new models of new energy vehicles because of the continuity of existing procedures and technologies, but also gave some opportunities for Chinese independent brands to lead in this field, especially in the field. Under the background of the Chinese government giving so many policy dividends, 80% of market share expectations are not surprising.

According to statistics, in the first half of 2015, the national ministries and commissions issued new policies for encouraging support for nearly 10 new energy vehicles, including the reduction of new energy vehicle and vessel purchase tax and the opening of electric passenger vehicles. In the second half of the year, the policy support for the new energy automobile industry continued to be strong. At the end of September, the State Council executive meeting decided a series of measures to support the development of new energy vehicles, including the restriction of new energy vehicles to limit purchases. Cancellation, etc. Recently, the General Office of the State Council issued the "Guiding Opinions on Accelerating the Construction of Electric Vehicle Charging Infrastructure", striving to achieve a breakthrough in the field of charging piles.

Driven by the support policy of continuous overweight, this year's new energy vehicle market continued the explosive growth trend of last year. According to the statistics of China Association of Automobile Manufacturers, from January to September this year, new energy vehicles produced 144,284 vehicles and sold 136,733 vehicles. They increased by 2 times and 2.3 times respectively. From the sales data of the previous nine months, the total sales volume of new energy vehicles is expected to reach 200,000 this year.

Some experts have said that to promote the healthy development of the new energy automobile industry, it is necessary to establish a long-term mechanism. On the one hand, the new energy automobile industry should focus on technological innovation and continuously optimize the user's travel experience; on the other hand, the public policy to promote the development of the new energy automobile industry should be sustainable, and timely improve and improve according to the actual situation. In the technical roadmap for the key areas of China Manufacturing 2025, it is also proposed to continue policy support for the new energy vehicle sector in the next decade.

According to the document, at the national level, an independent innovation development plan for new energy vehicles will be formed between industries, and a new energy vehicle industry innovation and demonstration fund will be established. A sustainable and feasible new energy vehicle tax incentive policy will be introduced, as well as rewards for the average fuel consumption of enterprises. Policies; increase R&D support for key core technologies, support the formation of new energy technology innovation alliances, build industry common technology platforms; improve relevant standards and regulations, strengthen inspection and evaluation capacity; form new energy vehicles and intelligent network vehicles, smart grids , the construction of smart cities and the coordinated development of key components and materials.

“The government has now formed a policy system that supports the new energy vehicle industry. For example, subsidies are invested in the R&D and sales phases. Not only the central government is investing, but local governments are also investing.” Zhang Junyi said, in addition, for the industrial model. Innovative subsidies and support have also begun to appear, in addition to economic subsidies, as well as some government push for industrial cooperation.

However, Zhang Junyi also said that by 2025, the annual sales volume of China's new energy vehicles will reach 20% of the total demand of the automobile market. This is not the result of simple policy promotion. Now there are suspicions of new energy subsidies in individual regions and enterprises, which also indicates that the “policy market” is unsustainable. As the various technologies of new energy vehicles become more mature, the future support policies will gradually withdraw. In the face of the gradual influx of foreign capital, the improvement of the ability of self-owned brands is very important, and this requires enterprises and society. Capital is working together.

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