A few days ago, Liu Yanlong, secretary-general of China Chemical and Physical Power Industry Association, made a deep analysis of the development of power batteries at the new energy industry branch. The details are as follows: According to data released by the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers on January 11, 2017, the production and sales of new energy vehicles in China reached 774,000 and 777,000 vehicles, respectively, an increase of 53.8% and 53.4% ​​year-on-year respectively. In 2017, the total supporting capacity of new energy vehicle power batteries reached 37.06 billion WH, among which, the passenger vehicle supporting capacity was 13.98 billion Wh, accounting for 37.72%; the passenger vehicle supporting capacity was 14.57 billion Wh, accounting for 39.9%. 31%; special vehicles supporting 8.51 billion Wh, accounting for 22.95%. Lithium-ion battery supporting capacity of 36.9 billion Wh, accounting for 99.56% of the supporting amount. Among them, three yuan: 16.56 billion WH, accounting for 44.87% of the lithium-ion battery, lithium iron phosphate: 18.07 billion Wh, accounting for 48.96%; lithium manganese oxide: 1.54 billion Wh, Accounting for 4.17%; lithium titanate: 740 million Wh, accounting for 2%. In 2017, China once again became the world's largest market for motive battery applications. However, in 2017 China's power battery industry, it can be described as "ups and downs." The subsidy retreat and the issuance of new subsidy policies have shattered policy hotbeds, and the power battery industry has entered a period of market transition. The cruel situation of industry competition has begun to appear. On the one hand, the power battery energy density continues to increase, which raises the threshold for products to enter the market and speeds up the elimination of enterprises. On the other hand, cost reduction has become the trend of the times, price pressures have been transmitted upstream, and power batteries have gradually changed from a profitable industry to a meager profit industry. . With the deepening of national policies, the concentration of power battery industry will continue to increase. The top five companies in 2017 had a supporting volume of 22.343 billion WH, accounting for 60.5%; the top 20 companies had a supporting volume of 32.09 billion WH, accounting for 87% of the total. The first-line companies in the industry gradually erode their market share through technological advantages, while the low-end production capacity of second and third-tier companies is facing a crisis of being eliminated. The requirements for the development of new energy vehicles and power battery industries put forward by the competent national authorities are to “give strengths and support strengths†and increase industry concentration. It is an indisputable fact that the subsidy will be further reduced in 2018. Under the new policy situation, the actual demand for the further increase of system energy density makes the requirements of the new energy vehicle manufacturers for the technical upgrading of the power battery enterprises more urgent. From the current industry structure, we can infer that the future of new energy vehicles and power battery industry are to focus most of the production capacity on a few large companies. Then for new energy automobile companies and power battery companies whose other production capacities are relatively decentralized, the future market competition will be even more cruel. Vehicle companies need to adjust, and power battery companies also need to adjust. Whether they are integrating various types of resources with upstream and downstream companies, reorganizing with large companies, or entering other more market segments, I think from now on, some of our motivation Battery companies should begin to consider and plan. General Secretary Xi Jinping pointed out at the Party’s Nineteenth National Congress report that China’s economy has shifted from a high-speed growth stage to a high-quality development stage and is now facing a critical period of transforming the development mode, optimizing the economic structure, and transforming the growth momentum. After the rapid growth of China's lithium-ion batteries, some problems have emerged, including structural overcapacity, product structure needs to be optimized, and product quality needs to be improved. It is a key stage for the transition from high-speed growth to high-quality growth. In order to ensure the sustainable and healthy development of China's lithium-ion battery industry, it is necessary to follow the requirements of the Party's Nineteenth Congress report and firmly grasp the historical opportunity of the rapid development of China's new energy vehicles to accelerate the "quality improvement" of the lithium-ion battery industry. China not only needs to be a major power battery producer, but also a power battery producer. At present, the conditions for foreign investment in the field of new energy vehicles and power batteries have been liberalized. After subsidies are completely eliminated in 2020, domestic power battery companies will face all-round competition from domestic and foreign companies, and global competition will intensify. Therefore, enterprises must actively change the development mode: from the expansion of production capacity to improving quality and efficiency, persist in relying on scientific and technological innovation, and take the road of differentiation and high-end development. Enterprises, universities, and research institutions should actively take the road of joint development, implement strong alliances, and work closely between upstream and downstream enterprises. We must accelerate the structural adjustment of power battery products and prevent the risks caused by the excessive production capacity of lithium iron phosphate batteries. High-specific energy power batteries will be the focus of future R&D and industrialization. It is necessary to speed up the development of high-specific energy power batteries such as high-nickel ternary systems to meet the requirements of new energy vehicles for driving range. With the rapid expansion of new energy vehicles and energy storage markets, higher requirements are placed on the high safety, high consistency, high qualification rate and low manufacturing cost of power batteries. Power battery companies must adopt technological innovation, production automation and Standardized management, accelerate the intelligent manufacturing of the battery industry.
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